💰 Position Sizing Calculator (Kelly + Fixed Fractional)

Hitung position size optimal berdasar Kelly Criterion, Fixed Fractional, Volatility-adjusted. Saves bankroll. Gunakan SEBELUM tiap trade real.

📥 Input

Account Size ($USDT) Entry Price ($) Stop Loss Price ($) Take Profit Price ($) Win Rate % (historical) Avg Win % (per trade) Avg Loss % (per trade) Current Drawdown % (account)

Trade Setup

Direction-

Risk per coin-

Risk % (entry to SL)-

R:R Ratio (reward/risk)-

Expectancy per trade-

Recommended Position Size (4 metode)

1️⃣ Fixed Fractional 1% (Conservative — recommended pemula)

Risk 1% akun per trade. Industry standard. Bisa rugi 100× berturut-turut tanpa wipe out.

Max loss in $-

Position size (qty)-

Position value-

% of account-

2️⃣ Fixed Fractional 2% (Aggressive)

Risk 2%/trade. Untuk trader yang sudah ada edge proven (50+ paper trade match backtest).

Max loss in $-

Position size (qty)-

Position value-

% of account-

3️⃣ Kelly Criterion (Mathematically Optimal)

f* = (bp - q) / b. WARNING: Pure Kelly = huge variance. Most pros pakai Half-Kelly atau Quarter-Kelly.

Full Kelly %-

Half Kelly % (recommended)-

Quarter Kelly %-

Position size @ Half Kelly-

4️⃣ DD-Aware Adaptive Sizing

Reduce size based on current drawdown. -10% DD → 70% size. -25% DD → 40% size. -40% DD → halt.

DD multiplier-

Adjusted size (from 1% FF)-

Position value-

Aturan keras:

Tidak pernah > 2% risk per trade, no matter what Kelly says.
Tidak pernah > 25% akun di 1 posisi (concentration risk).
Kalau DD > 30% akun → reduce size 50%, jangan revenge trade.
Kalau Win Rate live drop >15% dari backtest → halt + audit strategy.
Modal di bawah $500 = trade min order Binance ($5-10) → fee impact besar, gunakan 1% rule.

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💰 Position Sizing Calculator (Kelly + Fixed Fractional)

Hitung position size optimal berdasar Kelly Criterion, Fixed Fractional, Volatility-adjusted. Saves bankroll. Gunakan SEBELUM tiap trade real.

📥 Input

Account Size ($USDT) Entry Price ($) Stop Loss Price ($) Take Profit Price ($) Win Rate % (historical) Avg Win % (per trade) Avg Loss % (per trade) Current Drawdown % (account)

Trade Setup

Direction-

Risk per coin-

Risk % (entry to SL)-

R:R Ratio (reward/risk)-

Expectancy per trade-

Recommended Position Size (4 metode)

1️⃣ Fixed Fractional 1% (Conservative — recommended pemula)

Risk 1% akun per trade. Industry standard. Bisa rugi 100× berturut-turut tanpa wipe out.

Max loss in $-

Position size (qty)-

Position value-

% of account-

2️⃣ Fixed Fractional 2% (Aggressive)

Risk 2%/trade. Untuk trader yang sudah ada edge proven (50+ paper trade match backtest).

Max loss in $-

Position size (qty)-

Position value-

% of account-

3️⃣ Kelly Criterion (Mathematically Optimal)

f* = (bp - q) / b. WARNING: Pure Kelly = huge variance. Most pros pakai Half-Kelly atau Quarter-Kelly.

Full Kelly %-

Half Kelly % (recommended)-

Quarter Kelly %-

Position size @ Half Kelly-

4️⃣ DD-Aware Adaptive Sizing

Reduce size based on current drawdown. -10% DD → 70% size. -25% DD → 40% size. -40% DD → halt.

DD multiplier-

Adjusted size (from 1% FF)-

Position value-

Aturan keras:

Tidak pernah > 2% risk per trade, no matter what Kelly says.
Tidak pernah > 25% akun di 1 posisi (concentration risk).
Kalau DD > 30% akun → reduce size 50%, jangan revenge trade.
Kalau Win Rate live drop >15% dari backtest → halt + audit strategy.
Modal di bawah $500 = trade min order Binance ($5-10) → fee impact besar, gunakan 1% rule.

💰 Position Sizing Calculator (Kelly + Fixed Fractional)

📥 Input

Trade Setup

Recommended Position Size (4 metode)

1️⃣ Fixed Fractional 1% (Conservative — recommended pemula)

2️⃣ Fixed Fractional 2% (Aggressive)

3️⃣ Kelly Criterion (Mathematically Optimal)

4️⃣ DD-Aware Adaptive Sizing

Aturan keras:

Kamu sudah di Premium

Masuk dulu buat buka tool ini

💰 Position Sizing Calculator (Kelly + Fixed Fractional)

📥 Input

Trade Setup

Recommended Position Size (4 metode)

1️⃣ Fixed Fractional 1% (Conservative — recommended pemula)

2️⃣ Fixed Fractional 2% (Aggressive)

3️⃣ Kelly Criterion (Mathematically Optimal)

4️⃣ DD-Aware Adaptive Sizing

Aturan keras:

Kamu sudah di Premium

Masuk dulu buat buka tool ini