🌊 Forward test strategy · 99.7% WR · multi-coin

Swing Phase Monitor

Live monitor strategi swing-stable mean reversion yang lagi running di GCP forward test ( 99.7% WR, 1,708 trades, 40h paper). Score 0-100 untuk 4 filter independen + composite ENTRY_READY signal. Saat semua filter confluence, ⚡ ENTRY READY alert + sound + notif.

Konsep: mean reversion di range-bound regime. NO SL, max 4d hold. Top performers di forward test: DOGE / LINK / XRP / SOL di MEXC 0-fee.

📊 4 Filter Strategy (forward test 99.7% WR)

STABLE_RANGE — pasar tenang: 24h ≤12%, 4h 2-6%, ATR1h ≤1.5%, body 6h ≤4%
AT_EXTREME — price di top 80% (SHORT setup) atau bot 20% (LONG setup) of 4h range
RSI_EXTREME — RSI(14) ≥65 confirm SHORT, ≤35 confirm LONG
PULLBACK_POWER — 5-point composite (momentum, body, vol, velocity, bar pos) ≥3
ENTRY_READY — composite confluence (all 4 above pass) = ⚡ trigger

🎯 Scoring & Tier

Range	Tier	Action
80-100	🟢 PASS	Filter satisfied
60-79	🟡 FORMING	Close to threshold
40-59	🟠 BUILDING	Partial conditions met
0-39	⚪ INACTIVE	No setup yet

📋 Script (paste di tab MEXC futures coin manapun)

🏆 Top performers di forward test (40h)

DOGE — 25× TP 1.0% = +$150 (12W/0L), 10× TP 1.0% = +$60 (safer)
LINK — 25× TP 1.0% = +$125 (10W/0L), 15× TP 2.0% = +$105
XRP — 25× TP 1.0% = +$112 (9W/0L), 15× TP 1.0% = +$67.50
SOL — 25× TP 0.5% = +$75 (12W/0L), tapi ada 1 LIQ di TP 2.0%
Combo paling aman: 10× lev + TP 1.0% di DOGE/LINK/XRP (zero LIQ history)

⚠ Caveat

Forward test pakai fee 0% — match dengan MEXC 0-fee coins, salah kalau Binance taker.
Strategi NO STOP LOSS. Liq protection cuma di leverage rendah-medium.
Lev 25× TP 2% high return tapi 1-2% chance LIQ (terobservasi di SOL forward test).
Filter ketat = signal jarang (avg 6-12 trade/coin/40h). Patient game.
Konsep validated di forward test paper. Live execution bisa berbeda karena slippage real + limit miss.

🔗 Related tools

/lab-phase — 5 Wyckoff/Brooks signals (98% WR di LAB backtest)
/mexc-console — auto-trader 4-coin (DRY RUN default)
/mexc-scanner — regime tagger multi-coin
/mexc-commentator — multi-TF commentary per coin

Swing Phase Monitor

Konsep: mean reversion di range-bound regime. NO SL, max 4d hold. Top performers di forward test: DOGE / LINK / XRP / SOL di MEXC 0-fee.

📊 4 Filter Strategy (forward test 99.7% WR)

STABLE_RANGE — pasar tenang: 24h ≤12%, 4h 2-6%, ATR1h ≤1.5%, body 6h ≤4%

AT_EXTREME — price di top 80% (SHORT setup) atau bot 20% (LONG setup) of 4h range

RSI_EXTREME — RSI(14) ≥65 confirm SHORT, ≤35 confirm LONG

PULLBACK_POWER — 5-point composite (momentum, body, vol, velocity, bar pos) ≥3

ENTRY_READY — composite confluence (all 4 above pass) = ⚡ trigger

Range

Tier

Action

80-100

🟢 PASS

Filter satisfied

60-79

🟡 FORMING

Close to threshold

40-59

🟠 BUILDING

Partial conditions met

0-39

⚪ INACTIVE

No setup yet